The Bucks are the worst team in the NBA right now record wise, but they have gone on a 18-7 ATS run in the second half of the year due to inflated lines and I think we have another great opportunity considering the situation the Heat are in which is playing on 9 days rest. The Heat have played 3 games in 4 nights and last night they got rid of the frustration from the loss against the Pacers and now it's time to relax before they head home to take on the Raptors who are the #3 seed behind them in the East. I don't doubt that Miami might go up big int he first half, but when all is said and done this is about the time NBA playoff teams start to take it easy and why wouldn't they just cruise to a 5 point win against the Bucks. Miami is just 7-15 ATS this season as 9+ point favorite and they are also 10-25-2 ATS int heir last 37 following an ATS win which they had against Detroit last night.